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Analysis

Crypto Winters Could Provide Space For True Believers According To Reddit Co-Founder

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The co-founder of Reddit Alexis Ohanian who is also a popular crypto bull, claims that the crypto hype is going away and is creating space for true crypto builders and believers. He spoke for a Yahoo Finance interview that reached our crypto news today.

Ohanian explained that the current state of the crypto market is still in a crypto winter phase. He also cited Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong after he said that the bear market has contributed to eliminating the crypto speculators and that the true believers have stayed and will build a better crypto infrastructure.

Co-founder of Reddit also said:

 “Now, it’s still to be seen. But what’s a strong signal to me is still some of the smartest people I know in tech are working on solving these problems. They’re building companies that are built on blockchain. The hype is gone. The fervor is gone. But I think that’s a good thing.”

Ohanian was asked what he believes about the launch of the JPMorgan Chases’ JPMcoin which is a blockchain-based asset aiming to increase settlement efficiency within the operations of the bank itself for which he stressed that that move is just another indication that there is real innovation in the crypto market ongoing and the upcoming release is a good thing.

Alexis Ohanian became a multi-millionaire in 2006 after he sold Reddit with the second co-founder Steve Huffman and he is also a co-founder of a venture capital firm Initialized Capital. Back in July last year, he predicted that Bitcoin and Ethereum will reach up to $20,000 and $1,500.

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Analysis

Bitcoin Is At $4,001 – Finally Breaking Through The ‘Crucial Mark’ Again

For some, the Bitcoin news today show the dominant cryptocurrency as "stuck" in the $4,000 region. For others, Bitcoin is making a leap forward and rising in price. What's certain is that the crypto markets are experiencing a relatively quiet week as Bitcoin is trading sideways between $4,000 and $4,100. What's crucial is the fact that BTC is now over the $4k limit. However, the stability should not fool traders. According to analysts, BTC may drop in the near future as its upwards momentum starts to fade. In fact, if Bitcoin is unable to get more buying pressure as the markets head in the weekend, it is likely that it will drop back in the upper $3,000 region. Right now, Bitcoin is trading up less than 1% at its current price of $4,001. Throughout the week, it has established $4,100 as the resistance level and unsuccessfully attempted on multiple occasions to break above this price level. More importantly, Bitcoin has established $4,000 as a level of support and bounced after touching this price. The true test, despite this, is Bitcoin and its ability to advance above $4,200 which was the level established as a key resistance one last month. The current lack of momentum is negative. However, according to analyst, BTC is bearish only if the crypto begins tepidly moving towards the stronger resistance levels located above $4,100.
“If $BTC starts getting higher timeframe 4hr/1D closes below 3930, THEN I’ll consider being bearish short term. Unless you are a short term day trader flipping your outlook between 4400 and 2k after a red 30 minute candle isn’t too helpful,” an analyst named Luke Martin tweeted.
Historically, the crypto market has been prone to making big swings during weekend trading sessions - meaning that traders may gain more insight into where BTC could be heading over the next couple of days. Another popular crypto trader and analyst named The Cryptomist on Twitter, spoke about the possibility of Bitcoin dropping in the $3,000 region. As she stated:
“$BTC Mentioned couple days ago we will see movement for yesterday price action. We dropped and bounced of candle support as RSI support failed. We have 2-3 days to break this 4010 region resistance before we break this candle support and test target #1 at 3900 range.”
If the crypto drops below $4,000 it will likely be a strong psychological level of resistance which may prove to be difficult to break above.
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Analysis

Calm Before The Storm: Bitcoin Dominance Reaches Low Levels Similar To 2018

It seems like the Bitcoin dominance on the market has reached its previous position form a year ago in August. The Google trends data show that the interest in Bitcoin hasn’t been this low since 2018, April. Should we be expecting a massive bull run or the situation will stay the same? Let’s find out in our bitcoin news of today. BTC dominance is hovering about the 50% level. Bitcoin’s market cap is still the largest despite millions of dollars going into altcoins over the past year rather than Bitcoin. Users in the crypto community have noticed that lower dominance means a major bull run according to the data. In the first Bull Run, the data says otherwise. There is no single relevant information that the first bull run was initiated after a period of low dominance. The interest for the cryptocurrency dropped which made the huge investors dump and there is also no data that suggests that investors will come back. However, this could be a potential sign of warning that will scare everyone who is not a long time crypto trader or investor. The bull run that leads the price of bitcoin to reach $20,000 was a rare moment that made long-term investors put their funds somewhere else. One thing we can all be sure of is that there is not going to be a ‘’Bitcoin Killer’’ at least not in the near future. At the same time, smart contract platforms seem to be having a good time and investment products keep emerging on the surface. There are new projects launching every day and Ethereum is now becoming home to hundreds of tokenized projects and platforms. During the bull run, the demand for Ether increased rapidly but the long-term dominance of the cryptocurrency is just as questionable as Bitcoin’s. Currently, there is a lot more money going into Bitcoin nowadays and those will be filtered between people who invest for the first time or the HODLERS who just want to stay away from extreme volatility. In the long run, it’s not so crazy to think that Bitcoin might lose its position as the number one cryptocurrency but this won’t mean that the crypto has failed. The next bull run could be around the corner, let’s wait patiently and see what happens.
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Analysis

Bitwise To SEC: 95% Of Volume On Unregulated Exchanges Is Suspect

A new analysis by Bitwise tells that 95% of the volume on unregulated exchanges selling Bitcoin (BTC) seems to be fake or without any economic value in nature, as the latest digital currency news show. The cryptocurrency index fund provider Bitwise Asset Management came with the data, arguing in a report that is dated March 20th. Bitwise reported the data to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as part of the proposed rule change for its application to launch a Bitcoin (BTC) Exchange Traded Fund (ETF). As the analysis opens, there is around $6 billion in daily traded volume for Bitcoin across the spot markets. It further claims:
“Under the hood the exchanges that report the highest volumes are unrecognizable. The vast majority of this reported volume is fake and/or non-economic wash trading.”
Bitwise sources its data from the widely known statistics tracker CoinMarketCap (CMC) which claims to include a large amount of this suspect data, “thereby giving a fundamentally mistaken impression”  on the true size of the Bitcoin marketplace. The claims also cite that 95% of the reported volume is fake and that the real market for BTC is “significantly smaller, more orderly, and more regulated than commonly understood” - which roughly amounts to $273 million. After analyzing the regulated exchanges - using Coinbase Pro as a case study - Bitwise reveals the nature of the trading patterns that is trustworthy. The key characteristics include an “unequal and streaky” mix of red and green (sell and buy orders) whose distribution fluctuates considerably at any given time. The report also cites that the trading patterns on Coinbase Pro reveal “a greater-than-random number of round trade sizes,” which it characterizes as “more natural,” typically human behavior. Bitwise noted:
“It’s [the spread is] $0.01. At the time this screenshot was taken, bitcoin was trading at $3,419. That means bitcoin was trading at a 0.0003% spread, making it amongst the tightest quoted spread of any financial instrument in the world.”
In the conclusion of Bitwise's report you can see that the overall findings “demonstrate that this ETF application [for its Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust] meets both” of the conditions requested by the SEC on how a Bitcoin ETF could satisfy the requirements of the Exchange Act.
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Analysis

Bitcoin Goes Below And Above $4,000 Again: What’s Causing This Fluctuation?

The latest Bitcoin news show that Bitcoin (BTC) is now under the $4,000 threshold, disappointing many after its bullish run which triggered many other altcoins to surge. The price of BTC traded to a new weekly high above $4,060 before falling sharply against the US Dollar and going below $4,000. Currently, the trend is affecting every altcoin too. Ever since the price broke the key $3,960 support level and tested the $4,000 support levels, Bitcoin looked good - but things changed and a short-term bearish trend line formed with a resistance near $4,015 on the hourly chard of the BTC/USD pair. According to analysts, it was the next key support for Bitcoin at $3,875 that prevented further declines. After a swing low was formed at $3,872 - the price bounced back sharply. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level fell from $4,065 to $3,872 and BTC rebounded above the $3,950 resistance level. At the moment, Bitcoin has managed to go over $4,000 again - but is very unstable. The current price that BTC is holding onto is $4,034. The main resistance is now near $4,000 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level proves this instability. Looking at the chart, Buyers might now find it difficult to gain strength above the $4,000 and $4,020 levels . If there are hurdles in the future, there could definitely be another bearish reaction that could move Bitcoin back to the $3,900 waters. The current technical indicators are as following:
  • Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly moving in the bullish zone, with a positive bias.
  • Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently correcting higher, but it is still well below the 50 level.
  • Major Support Levels – $3,950 followed by $3,920.
  • Major Resistance Levels – $4,000, $4,020 and $4,060
According to a prominent analyst, Bitcoin has a massive potential to surge significantly higher, even to $400k in the future. Naeem Aslam, who is a popular crypto trader, has yesterday explained that the lack of buying pressure above $4,000 is likely to lead BTC to a price of $3,500 which may be reached soon if the bulls are unable to keep BTC stable above $4,000. It seems like Rager is right. However, his more controversial statement was aimed at Bitcoin's future and the $400k price level which according to him, is definitely manageable in the future - and is not a "fool's paradise" as he stated.
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