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Analysis

Who Shorted $74 Million And Dropped The Price Of Bitcoin?

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The market is officially deep in the red after Bitcoin fell from almost $7,500 to today’s low of $6,400 in a new massive sell-off. However, no one knows who to blame for this major decline.

After the news that Goldman Sachs is sidelining plans of opening its cryptocurrency desk, the market took a sharp downward turn. The main reason for the drop, however, is the fact that someone took 10,000 BTC in a short position while the entire market sentiment has been positive.

According to the top analysts in the field, no one knows why someone would short $74,000,000 (10,000 BTC) in a position so quickly. It simply doesn’t make sense unless the trader knew something that we all didn’t.

Other analysts speculate that this could have been someone at Goldman Sachs themselves, taking the $74 million short position, waiting for 2 days and then announcing that they are pulling out of crypto.

Obviously, these are all speculations. However, technology can help us see the real victim here. According to one AI technology that always keeps a watchful eye on the cryptocurrency market, there is clear evidence that the drop points to a deliberate market manipulation.

When the crypto drop occurred, at first, no one knew what was happening. Later in the day, the catalyst was found – in the form of Goldman Sachs pausing its developments on its rumored crypto trading desk.

 

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Analysis

Key Technical Indicators Show That BTC Could Surge Up To $5,500: Analysis

The bitcoin price has circled around the $4,200 resistance level over the past three months and was struggling to maintain momentum above the $4,000 price point. In today’s bitcoin news, we have an analysis of the price of the number one cryptocurrency according to multiple crypto traders and crypto enthusiasts. Many traders expressed their concerns over the past period about the stability of the cryptocurrency because, in late 2018, Bitcoin recorded a drop of around 50 percent after the three months of stagnation between the $6,300 and $6,500 range.
 “According to Bulkowski’s study, more than 60% of ascending triangles with declining volume end up breaking upwards with an average price rise of 35%. That gives us a target of $5500 BTC once the breakout is confirmed.”
Other traders are optimistic about the price of Bitcoin but are a little concerned about it being incapable of breaking out the $4,000 price range and are worried about whether it would test other major resistance levels. Over the past week, BTC managed to stay relatively stable in the $4,000 range but it was unable to rebound to the $4,200 level. Alex Kruger, a well-known crypto market analyst said that Bitcoin is going through a short-term correction by saying:
 “It is a simple stops run. Prices had just gone up vertically for 16 days without a pullback. Take $ETH for example: +38% without a pullback. Lots of levered longs piled up. And people FOMOed in. BTC reached the first level strong resistance ($4200) and a correction ensued. As it is with any other asset class or market, the analyst emphasized that a prolonged bullish movement is often met with a large pullback.”
On the technical side, Bitcoin is having a hard time finding a decent momentum and it could require a slight push that will boost the price to escape from the $4,200 level in the near-term. While Bitcoin recorded slight losses on the day, many crypto assets like TRON, OmiseGo, and Cardano showed slight gains up to 10 percent with Cardano leading against Bitcoin. It is also important to notice the hashrate of BTC because the gap between it and the price explains that the miners are willing to mine for almost no profit because they expect for the price to increase in the long run.
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Analysis

Bitcoin Is At $4,001 – Finally Breaking Through The ‘Crucial Mark’ Again

For some, the Bitcoin news today show the dominant cryptocurrency as "stuck" in the $4,000 region. For others, Bitcoin is making a leap forward and rising in price. What's certain is that the crypto markets are experiencing a relatively quiet week as Bitcoin is trading sideways between $4,000 and $4,100. What's crucial is the fact that BTC is now over the $4k limit. However, the stability should not fool traders. According to analysts, BTC may drop in the near future as its upwards momentum starts to fade. In fact, if Bitcoin is unable to get more buying pressure as the markets head in the weekend, it is likely that it will drop back in the upper $3,000 region. Right now, Bitcoin is trading up less than 1% at its current price of $4,001. Throughout the week, it has established $4,100 as the resistance level and unsuccessfully attempted on multiple occasions to break above this price level. More importantly, Bitcoin has established $4,000 as a level of support and bounced after touching this price. The true test, despite this, is Bitcoin and its ability to advance above $4,200 which was the level established as a key resistance one last month. The current lack of momentum is negative. However, according to analyst, BTC is bearish only if the crypto begins tepidly moving towards the stronger resistance levels located above $4,100.
“If $BTC starts getting higher timeframe 4hr/1D closes below 3930, THEN I’ll consider being bearish short term. Unless you are a short term day trader flipping your outlook between 4400 and 2k after a red 30 minute candle isn’t too helpful,” an analyst named Luke Martin tweeted.
Historically, the crypto market has been prone to making big swings during weekend trading sessions - meaning that traders may gain more insight into where BTC could be heading over the next couple of days. Another popular crypto trader and analyst named The Cryptomist on Twitter, spoke about the possibility of Bitcoin dropping in the $3,000 region. As she stated:
“$BTC Mentioned couple days ago we will see movement for yesterday price action. We dropped and bounced of candle support as RSI support failed. We have 2-3 days to break this 4010 region resistance before we break this candle support and test target #1 at 3900 range.”
If the crypto drops below $4,000 it will likely be a strong psychological level of resistance which may prove to be difficult to break above.
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Analysis

Calm Before The Storm: Bitcoin Dominance Reaches Low Levels Similar To 2018

It seems like the Bitcoin dominance on the market has reached its previous position form a year ago in August. The Google trends data show that the interest in Bitcoin hasn’t been this low since 2018, April. Should we be expecting a massive bull run or the situation will stay the same? Let’s find out in our bitcoin news of today. BTC dominance is hovering about the 50% level. Bitcoin’s market cap is still the largest despite millions of dollars going into altcoins over the past year rather than Bitcoin. Users in the crypto community have noticed that lower dominance means a major bull run according to the data. In the first Bull Run, the data says otherwise. There is no single relevant information that the first bull run was initiated after a period of low dominance. The interest for the cryptocurrency dropped which made the huge investors dump and there is also no data that suggests that investors will come back. However, this could be a potential sign of warning that will scare everyone who is not a long time crypto trader or investor. The bull run that leads the price of bitcoin to reach $20,000 was a rare moment that made long-term investors put their funds somewhere else. One thing we can all be sure of is that there is not going to be a ‘’Bitcoin Killer’’ at least not in the near future. At the same time, smart contract platforms seem to be having a good time and investment products keep emerging on the surface. There are new projects launching every day and Ethereum is now becoming home to hundreds of tokenized projects and platforms. During the bull run, the demand for Ether increased rapidly but the long-term dominance of the cryptocurrency is just as questionable as Bitcoin’s. Currently, there is a lot more money going into Bitcoin nowadays and those will be filtered between people who invest for the first time or the HODLERS who just want to stay away from extreme volatility. In the long run, it’s not so crazy to think that Bitcoin might lose its position as the number one cryptocurrency but this won’t mean that the crypto has failed. The next bull run could be around the corner, let’s wait patiently and see what happens.
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Analysis

Bitwise To SEC: 95% Of Volume On Unregulated Exchanges Is Suspect

A new analysis by Bitwise tells that 95% of the volume on unregulated exchanges selling Bitcoin (BTC) seems to be fake or without any economic value in nature, as the latest digital currency news show. The cryptocurrency index fund provider Bitwise Asset Management came with the data, arguing in a report that is dated March 20th. Bitwise reported the data to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as part of the proposed rule change for its application to launch a Bitcoin (BTC) Exchange Traded Fund (ETF). As the analysis opens, there is around $6 billion in daily traded volume for Bitcoin across the spot markets. It further claims:
“Under the hood the exchanges that report the highest volumes are unrecognizable. The vast majority of this reported volume is fake and/or non-economic wash trading.”
Bitwise sources its data from the widely known statistics tracker CoinMarketCap (CMC) which claims to include a large amount of this suspect data, “thereby giving a fundamentally mistaken impression”  on the true size of the Bitcoin marketplace. The claims also cite that 95% of the reported volume is fake and that the real market for BTC is “significantly smaller, more orderly, and more regulated than commonly understood” - which roughly amounts to $273 million. After analyzing the regulated exchanges - using Coinbase Pro as a case study - Bitwise reveals the nature of the trading patterns that is trustworthy. The key characteristics include an “unequal and streaky” mix of red and green (sell and buy orders) whose distribution fluctuates considerably at any given time. The report also cites that the trading patterns on Coinbase Pro reveal “a greater-than-random number of round trade sizes,” which it characterizes as “more natural,” typically human behavior. Bitwise noted:
“It’s [the spread is] $0.01. At the time this screenshot was taken, bitcoin was trading at $3,419. That means bitcoin was trading at a 0.0003% spread, making it amongst the tightest quoted spread of any financial instrument in the world.”
In the conclusion of Bitwise's report you can see that the overall findings “demonstrate that this ETF application [for its Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust] meets both” of the conditions requested by the SEC on how a Bitcoin ETF could satisfy the requirements of the Exchange Act.
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