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CME Bitcoin Options Volume With A Record Low Yesterday

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In light of the news that Bakkt has gone weeks with no trades, today we are reporting on the CME Bitcoin options volume which hit a record low yesterday. The demand for Bitcoin options on the regulated US-based derivatives exchanges has dried up lately, showing that the price volatility and the coronavirus outbreak is affecting all trading spheres.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is therefore in the Bitcoin news now, trading just three Bitcoin options contracts yesterday with a notional amount of 15 Bitcoin (around $80,000) as the exchange told the media.

This CME Bitcoin options volume is the lowest daily volume for BTC options on record, according to Skew Markets. The previous record low of $125,000 was registered on January 24 this year.

As you probably know if you are reading our crypto news, the CME Bitcoin Options is a product that went live on January 13 this year and traded a total of $2.2 million in notional value on the first day. This beat its rival, the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and its Bakkt platform, which traded roughly $1 million since the opening date (December 9, 2019).

The CME Bitcoin options volume rose to a record high of $5.4 million on January 17, but has been declining ever since. As of Tuesday, the trading volumes were down by a record 96% from the minor spike of $2.1 million registered on March 9.

Meanwhile, we also reported about Bakkt and the absence of options trading activity ever since February 27. ICE’s exchange (Bakkt) rolled out its product on December 9 and had a record volume of $528,000 in notional value on January 8. The options volume evaporated following the launch of CME’s options in mid-January.

Notably, Bakkt has traded option contracts on just four days since mid-January. According to many people, the slowdown in activity on both CME and Bakkt is perhaps surprising given that the Bitcoin’s price volatility soared over the last few days.

Still, we must accept the fact that Bitcoin dropped by more than 50% this year and is trading at record lows. From a high of $10,500 at one point this year, it fell to $3,780 as the new yearly low after which it climbed to $4,000 and then $5,000. Currently, the BTC price is at $5,400 with a positive increase on the day.

DC Forecasts is a leader in many crypto news categories, striving for the highest journalistic standards and abiding by a strict set of editorial policies. If you are interested to offer your expertise or contribute to our news website, feel free to contact us at editor@dcforecasts.com

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Bitcoin News

BitMEX CEO Doubles Down: “BTC Will Hit $20k By Year End”

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The past few weeks have been great for the most dominant coin, and the latest Bitcoin price news show that a bullish momentum is officially in. However, the past month saw many horrors - the biggest of which was the drop on March 12, when Bitcoin slid 50% and much more. However, the prominent analyst and BitMEX CEO doubles down again, coming to the conclusion that the stars are finally aligning for BTC and the overall market. We are talking about the head of BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, who has been vocal when it comes to Bitcoin price predictions in 2020. On the even on the brutal crash which made BTC worth around 50% less than what it was, Hayes released the March edition of the "Crypto Trader Digest" newsletter that he sends out. In the newsletter, the BitMEX CEO doubles down on Bitcoin and says that the world was simply facing a "global margin call" which Bitcoin would not escape from. Funny enough, he was proven correct when the cryptocurrency fell off a cliff, failing as the global markets underperformed. Now, the BitMEX CEO doubles down with another prediction - in the April edition of the newsletter, he said that while the most dominant coin has the potential to retest the $3,000 levels - the lighting Bitcoin which we are seeing now is on a good way to a "year-end price target at $20,000." At the current price of Bitcoin (BTC), a move like this would result in a 180% increase. As to the actual reasons why Hayes a scenario like this is coming, he said:
“Everyone knows the shift is upon us, that is why central bankers and politicians will throw all of their tools at this problem. And I will reiterate, that is inflationary because more fiat money will chase a flat to declining supply of real goods and labour. There are only two things to own during the transition to whatever the new system is and that is gold and bitcoin.”
His optimism has been echoed by other prominent crypto executives, too. As previous reports in the crypto news on our site showed, Galaxy Digital's Mike Novogratz, Dan Morehead of Pantera Capital and a couple of other analysts believe that BTC has what it takes to top $20,000 in the coming 12 months.
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Bitcoin News

Fold App Joins Visa’s Fintech Fast Track Program

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The Fold app, known as a Bitcoin lighting-compatible mobile app that offers users Bitcoin rewards while shopping, recently joined the Visa Fintech Fast Track Program. Joining this program will help the app launch a new Visa co-branded card, which continues the offer of Bitcoin rewards for purchases made at retailers. The Fold app CEO, Will Reeves, spoke to the cryptonews media recently and said that Visa would be providing the company with financial support as well as a dedicated team to bring the new Bitcoin cash back rewards card to the market. As reported before, the Gold app has been offering users the ability to spend BTC or fit at major retailers including Amazon, Uber and Starbucks. As such, it requires them to synchronize their accounts either with an existing credit card or with a Lighting wallet. With the new offering, Visa will enable the firm's users to use the integrated service. In times when the Bitcoin news are showing positive movement and many new industry players are exploring the possibilities of various crypto debit cards, Reeves described the Fold app as the following:
“Other cards announced by major exchanges [...] require you to spend your crypto triggering taxable events. Our card enables you to spend dollars and earn Bitcoin.”
He also clarified that earning rewards denominated in Bitcoin won't trigger a taxable event "as the Bitcoin is not being sold." As such, the card will be functional at over 10 million merchants worldwide. The major United States crypto exchange Coinbase also announced a principal membership of Visa last month, showing that they aim to diversify and promising users a more flexible and familiar "legacy" interface to earn and access cryptocurrency. This February, we could also see the blockchain popularizer and sports fan token project Socios announcing its launch of an integrated membership and a fiat-crypto prepaid debit card, which would also provide blockchain-based ID functionalities. Meanwhile, reports show that besides the Fold app, there are many similar projects going out. Amazon has also been slow to directly integrate cryptocurrencies, leaving the field to many potential competitors which are using crypto rewards, gift cards or debit cards to bridge the gap between established eCommerce and Bitcoin.
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India Sees Crypto Trading Volumes Rise Due To COVID-19 Lockdown

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India is the world's second most populated country and right now, it is increasingly embracing cryptocurrencies amid the domestic economic issues as well as the coronavirus-related lockdown. As we can see from the cryptonews now, India sees crypto trading volumes shooting higher due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It all started on March 4, when the country's highest court quashed a Reserve Bank of India (RBI) order which was dated for April 6, 2018 - prohibiting banks from providing services to entities dealing with cryptocurrencies. This is when the activity on exchanges started increasing.
“There has been a considerable increase in trading volumes on exchanges catering to Indian clients due to the clarity offered by the Supreme Court’s ruling,” said Ashish Singhal, who is the CEO and founder of the cryptocurrency exchange CoinSwitch.
The crypto banking services platform Cashaa India noted that there was a spike of 800% in the past 48 hours in the trading volumes following this decision. So, it is clear that India sees a rise in this trading aspect - “the platform also registered a volume of 600+ BTC in the first 24 hours,” said Cashaa CEO Kumar Gaurav. Even though back then the Indian traders were in a rush mainly because of the rumors that the government would intervene by declaring cryptocurrencies illegal, India sees a spike in crypto trading now and every trader is looking to take advantage of the time window offered by the Supreme Court's ruling. The momentum remains storing and as the Bitcoin news today show more increases, it will likely go up in the near future. The activity on exchanges in India further improved after the fourth largest lender in the country, Yes Bank, collapsed on March 6 and damaged the confidence that Indians have in the national banking system. This is how a national panic was triggered - and why now India sees a potential havoc. However, the prices of crypto remain strong and the exchanges are working full steam to satisfy the traders. Meanwhile, traditional markets such as equities and bonds panicked in March as the coronavirus outbreak gathered pace across Europe and the United States. India's benchmark equity index NIFTY 50 dropped by 23% as a result, while the Indian rupee hit a record low of 77.40 per US dollar.
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Bitcoin News

Coronavirus Reduced The Risk Of A Post-Halving Price Dump

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The recent COVID-19 pandemic and the coronavirus reduced the risk of a post-halving price dump of Bitcoin, the latest cryptocurrency news show. According to experts, the market crash has also reduced the risk of a halving price dump. Earlier today, we could see how Chainalysis brought together a group of industry experts for an online panel in order to discuss the impact of COVID-19 on Bitcoin and what that meant for the future. According to Chris Bendikson, who is the Head of Research at CoinShares, the recent price crash due to the coronavirus reduced the risk of a dump and prepred miners early for the halving. Speaking of which, this halving is said to reduce the sudden impact that it could have had on their profitability. Miners with outdated equipment had already been forced to either quit or upgrade:
“The result being that after the halving passes, plus maybe some months of potential hazard volatility, the industry, the mining industry will be in a much stronger position with an overall lower cost base," Bendikson said.
The expert also talked about a potential bull run in the Bitcoin price news soon, stating the following:
“What that means is that miners are likely to not have to sell as high of a proportion of their mined coins as before the halving and the actual halving, when you add that to this, means that we're potentially about to see a midterm bullish virtuous cycle in the making.”
According to Alex Laughton Scott who is the Associate Director of CoinShares, the coronavirus reduced the risk of a post halving price dump but also shone a light on the beneficial uses of Bitcoin. Scott asked the question "have the fundamentals changed?" and then answered his own question with the following:
“The short answer would be: absolutely not. And this global setup is one that very much could show Bitcoin, Bitcoin’s uses and values in their entirety [...] We could be possibly witnessing a bit of a perfect storm brewing for Bitcoin in the medium term.”
All in all, during times of crisis, all correlations go to 1. In this scenario, Bitcoin will definitely face more volatility but with the current momentum, it has no problems to shoot even higher in the news.
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